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02.10.2024 04:43 AM
2024年10月2日英鎊/美元預測

在外部因素的影響下,英鎊昨天下跌了89個點。下影線僅差一步未能達到目標水平1.3220。Marlin振盪器已經向下突破楔形,可能繼續在灰色矩形範圍內維持橫盤走勢。

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總體而言,英鎊繼續在上升楔形內發展,推遲了對 1.3525 目標水平的測試,我們預期此處會出現中長期的主要反轉趨勢。這一下降趨勢將更多與美國總統選舉結果相關,而非中東衝突。然而,當然所有的政治事件都是相互關聯的,需要綜合考量。

在四小時圖表上,價格正嘗試重回 1.3300 水平之上。如果能在此水平方上鞏固,英鎊可能會嘗試突破 1.3360。

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MACD線支持該水平,因此需要更多條件才能實現突破。明天,美國的PMI指數將公佈,這可能會幫助英鎊。

如果英鎊跌破1.3220的支持位,它將在日線圖中退出楔形區間,Marlin將進入看跌區域。然後將進攻日線圖上的MACD線支持位(1.3141)。跌破此水平將確認英鎊進一步中期貶值的路徑。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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